Week 8 is in the books and playoff spots are starting to get locked up across the state! Let’s take a look at our bracketology heading into the final week of region play for most teams and where everyone stands as of now.

We take a look at how we feel the brackets could play out and below is the bracket as we see it here at JoxPreps. This is nothing more than us looking at the numbers so far and projecting where teams could finish. These current placings are a mix of current standings, projections and our opinion – none of this is set in stone yet. As we near the end of the season, teams will begin to lock up playoff spots, and we will make sure to note when that happens.

With each team listed in the bracket, we have given a confidence grade. This shows how confident we are that a team will finish in a certain spot. A “HIGH” grade means that we feel they will almost assuredly finish in that spot. A “MEDIUM” grade means that we feel that the team will most likely finish somewhere around where we have them listed, maybe a spot or two off depending on future results. A “LOW” grade means that things are still way up in the air and this is only an opinion from us, but there is a lot that still has to play out.

Here is the JoxPreps bracketology for Class 5A as of right now:

* – Teams marked in red are locked into that position

Confidence

LOCKED = Locked into that position no matter what
HIGH = Most likely will finish where they are
MEDIUM = Most likely will finish within a spot or two of where our projections have them
LOW = May be in good position now, but things could drastically change with just one or two results


Region 1

1. Faith Academy (5-0)LOCKED
2. Citronelle (3-2)HIGH
3. Jackson (2-3)MEDIUM
4. Vigor (3-3)MEDIUM

Others that could grab a spot: Satsuma (3-2)

This region is slightly off because of Jackson forfeiting two games from earlier in the season. The interesting forfeit was to Satsuma, a game Jackson won on the field 61-34 but is a win for Satsuma.

Should Jackson beat LeFlore (1-4) and Satsuma lose to region champ Faith Academy, it would cause a 3-way tie at 3-3 where the teams all beat each other (based on the forfeit). That three-way tie would go to Jackson though because they beat Citronelle and tiebreaker D (highest win percentage against the #2 ranked team) would come into play. However, this is also assuming Citronelle beats Wilcox Central, but Wilcox Central’s only win is the forfeit they got over Jackson. If Citronelle somehow lost, that would be a 4-way tie for second and be…well…a headache.

Should our projections play out and Citronelle wins, Jackson wins and Faith Academy wins, then Jackson would be the three-seed, then Vigor would be the fourth seed with a head-to-head win over Satsuma.

The only way for Satsuma to make it is to either beat Faith Academy or have Jackson lose to LeFlore.


Region 2

1. Valley (4-1)LOW
2. Charles Henderson (4-1)LOW
3. Rehobeth (4-2)LOW
4. Greenville (3-2)LOW

Others that could grab a spot: None

Valley and Charles Henderson play this week for the region title. Both have losses to teams behind them. If Valley wins, then Henderson lost to Greenville and could cause a 3-way tie between them and Rehobeth. If Henderson wins, then Valley lost to Rehobeth and could cause a 3-way tie with them and Greenville.

Tallassee can still tie Greenville but they lost head-to-head earlier this season so Greenville is in the playoffs no matter what. However, assuming they beat Carroll (0-5), there will be a 3-way tie regardless.

Now, because Rehobeth/Henderson only played 9 games this year, it will fall to tiebreaker N which is “The team whose defeated opponents have the most victories.” This is the rule in play because tiebreaker L (non-region defeated opponents victories) requires equal games. Tiebreaker M and N are basically the same, M just requires equal games played and N doesn’t.

Because of that, we are going to wait and see how things play out and we will have the totals for you next week as we head into the final week of play and we know what teams are tied and which ones aren’t. However, these four teams are the playoff teams from this region no matter what.


Region 3

1. Bibb County (5-0)LOCKED
2. Demopolis (4-1)HIGH
3. Chilton County (4-1)HIGH
4. Marbury (3-2)LOCKED

Others that could grab a spot: None

Bibb County has the region title locked up due to Marbury’s loss to Chilton County. Demopolis and Chilton County play this week and the winner gets second place while the loser gets third because both beat Marbury head-to-head. Marbury can’t advance with a win over Bibb County because of losing head-to-head to both teams ahead of them.


Region 4

1. Pleasant Grove (5-1)HIGH
2. Briarwood (5-1)HIGH
3. Ramsay (5-1)HIGH
4. Parker (3-3)HIGH

Others that could grab a spot: Fairfield (3-3)

Briarwood got a huge win this week to make things a 3-way tie at the top. Briarwood plays Fairfield this week, so assuming the Lions win, Parker will be in no matter what. If Fairfield wins, then Parker will need to lose to Wenonah to put the Tigers in.

Pleasant Grove and Ramsay have the two bottom teams in the region so we are assuming they win. If that’s the case and a three-way tie breaks out, then it will go to tiebreaker L which is “The team whose defeated non-region opponents (in class, above class, and within two classes below) have the most victories if all teams involved in the tie play an equal number of games.”

Here are the current win totals:

Pleasant Grove – 11, potentially 13 (defeated Mortimer Jordan, West Blocton with Leeds on deck to add potentially 2 more)
Briarwood – 6, potentially 10 (defeated Chelsea, Hartselle with Hueytown on deck to add potentially 9 more)
Ramsay – 7, potentially 10 (defeated Minor, Central-Tuscaloosa and lost to Pinson Valley)

Assuming Briarwood doesn’t beat Hueytown (who is one of the best teams in 6A), Pleasant Grove is sitting in a good position to win the region. That would give Briarwood second and Ramsay third. If Briarwood does pull off the upset against Hueytown, then they will at worst tie Pleasant Grove at the top, in which case Pleasant Grove will still win, but most likely they will win the tiebreaker which will put Ramsay second and Pleasant Grove third.

As it stands now, there is no way for Ramsay to win the region if it stays in a 3-way tie. They would need Briarwood to lose to Fairfield so they can win the tiebreak over Pleasant Grove.


Region 5

1. Mortimer Jordan (5-1)HIGH
2. Central Clay-County (5-1)MEDIUM
3. Center Point (5-1)MEDIUM
4. Sylacauga (4-2)MEDIUM

Others that could grab a spot: Munford (3-3)

As it stands right now, Center Point controls their own destiny. If they beat Central-Clay County this week, they win the region due to their win over Mortimer Jordan. If Central wins, then Mortimer Jordan wins the region (as long as they beat 2-4 Moody) with Central second.

Munford still has an outside chance to make the playoffs too if they can beat Sylacauga this week. Assuming Mortimer Jordan wins, then:

Center Point/Sylacauga win – 1) Center Point, 2) Mortimer Jordan, 3) Central-Clay County, 4) Sylacauga
Center Point/Munford win – 1) Center Point, 2) Mortimer Jordan, 3) Central-Clay County, 4) Munford

Central/Sylacauga win – 1) Mortimer Jordan, 2) Central-Clay County, 3) Sylacauga, 4) Center Point
Central/Munford win – 1) Mortimer Jordan, 2) Central-Clay County, 3) Center Point, 4) Munford


Region 6

1. Etowah (5-0)LOCKED
2. Alexandria (4-1)LOCKED
3. Sardis (4-2)LOCKED
4. Boaz (3-2)LOCKED

Others that could grab a spot: None

Etowah won the region with a win over Alexandria. Alexandria locked up second because even if they lose to Douglas (0-5), they have the tiebreaker over both Sardis and Boaz.

Sardis has the third spot locked up because at best Boaz would tie them but Sardis won head-to-head a couple of weeks ago. Boaz can beat Etowah, but because of losing to both Alexandria and Sardis (who they could potentially tie), the tiebreakers wouldn’t get low enough for their Etowah win to mean anything.


Region 7

1. Jasper (6-0)HIGH
2. Hamilton (5-1)HIGH
3. Russellville (4-2)LOCKED
4. Corner (3-3)LOW

Others that could grab a spot: Lawrence County (2-4), West Point (2-3), Hayden (2-4)

Jasper and Hamilton play this week for the region title while the loser will be locked in to second (Hamilton defeated Russellville head-to-head). Russellville has Dora (0-6) and at worst can tie Corner at 4-3, which they would win head-to-head, so they are locked in to third.

Lawrence County and Corner play this week and if Corner wins, they are fourth. If Lawrence County wins, then it would cause a 3-way tie for fourth at 3-4 with the winner of West Point and Hayden (who are both 2-4).

If it’s Hayden, then they lost to both Corner and Lawrence County, despite beating Hamilton. So Lawrence County would win the tiebreaker at 2-0 against those teams and get fourth.

If it’s West Point, then they beat Lawrence County who beat Corner who beat West Point so it goes to non-region games at that point:

Corner – 8, potentially 11 with Oakman (5-3) on deck
Lawrence County – 2, potentially 3 with Rogers (2-6) on deck
West Point – 6, potentially 8 with Cordova (3-5) on deck

So Corner is looking the best here. If Corner loses, they need West Point to win over Hayden.


Region 8

1. Madison County (5-1)HIGH
2. Scottsboro (5-1)HIGH
3. Madison Academy (4-2)HIGH
4. Guntersville (4-2)HIGH

Others that could grab a spot: None

Madison County only needs to win over Ardmore (0-6) to win the region this week. They own the head-to-head over Scottsboro. Scottsboro has to beat Brewer (2-4) to lock up second.

Madison Academy has Arab (2-4) to lock up third and Guntersville has East Limestone (2-4). These four teams are the four playoff teams, but if any of them are upset this week, then it could cause a stir. Madison County lost to Guntersville but beat the other two. Madison Academy defeated Guntersville, so that is why we have them third.